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What Actually Trades
The first 72 hours of disruption are driven by urgency, uncertainty, and incomplete information. Trade value during this window is not about long-term worth—it’s about immediate relief, continuity, and low-friction exchange.
In the first 72 hours, trade value is dominated by items that solve immediate pain points: water access, power, light, hygiene, warmth, basic food continuity, and short-term mobility. Items that require explanation, long-term thinking, or trust usually do not trade well this early.
The first three days are chaotic, information-poor, and emotionally compressed. These constraints define what trades—and what doesn’t.
People trade to reduce discomfort now, not to maximize future advantage. Relief today beats “better later.”
Recognizable items trade faster than technically superior but unfamiliar ones. Explanation slows acceptance.
Most exchanges are minor: topping off, borrowing, quick fixes. Divisibility and clean pricing matter.
Counterfeit fear, visibility risk, and social pressure cause many “valuable” items to be rejected.
These categories repeatedly show up in real disruptions because they address immediate needs without requiring long explanations or future promises.
Items with long-term or abstract value usually fail early because they don’t reduce immediate stress.
If someone has to believe you, test it, or research it, acceptance drops sharply.
No-change problems kill trades. People avoid deals that feel unfair or awkward.
Early trade is about survival and relief, not investment or hedging.
People assume others are planning ahead. In reality, most are stabilizing the next 24 hours.
Early trade is personal, local, and emotional—not efficient or abstract.
Skills and access often outperform objects in the first phase.
Showing too much capacity creates leverage attempts and risk.
Early trade is driven by urgency, relief, and low-friction exchange.
You are here.Utility beats abstraction when stress is high.
Read →Access and capability often outperform objects.
Read →Attention, suspicion, and friction kill trades.
Read →Rarely. Early trade favors immediate relief and familiarity over long-term value storage.
Sometimes, but only if systems partially function and pricing remains stable.
Reducing discomfort, preserving continuity, and avoiding attention or conflict.